Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.12	4.58
	1.88	3.12	4.58
	1.82	3.28	4.46
	1.91	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	4.19 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
48.7%

Draw
29.3%

Ursaria
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

28.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-2%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Astray P. ⚽,
78', Juan Silva ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gimnástica Segoviana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gimnástica Segoviana is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Unión Adarve - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWT
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0

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