Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)


	Gimnasia La Plata		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.16	3	3.6
	2.2	3	3.45
	2.29	3.05	3.71
	2.15	3.15	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.96)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)	3.54 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
42.6%

Draw
30.8%

Arsenal Sarandí
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

29%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	28.9%	7.9%

Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 47.9% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Gimnasia La Plata has the most likely position - 1 (18.66%), has project points - 46, has currently - 33, has a chance of win league (19%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 2.

Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimnasia La Plata will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Guiffrey G. (Injury) Tarragona C. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Sanchez B. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.22	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
23.08.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
18.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTW
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
05.09.22	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
17.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
24.11.19	Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1
04.02.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
26.09.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2
18.03.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
10.07.15	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
27.10.14	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0

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