The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 13.5%
Draw 26.2%
Vélez Sársfield 60.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
29.9%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
28.8%
49.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Arsenal Sarandí - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Amaya A. 2. Bernardi B. 6. Sosa A. 3. Cabrera I. 8. Lucero M. 5. Domingo N. (C) 10. Segovia A. 11. Serrano V. 7. Trombini M. 9. Ortiz T.
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 34. Fernandez D. 31. Gomez V. (C) 37. Cavanagh T. 32. Ordonez C. 35. Caseres S. 22. Aquino C. 20. Pizzini F. 30. Sarco A. 17. Pineiro R.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez A. 16. Ayala A. 21. Benitez M. 17. Brestt F. 23. Cabral D. 20. Druille L. 15. Frascone N. 18. Krilanovich J. 19. Pavia K. 12. Rosa N. (G) 22. Sabatini I.
9. Braian Romero 10. Cabrera E. 27. Fernandez T. 8. Garayalde N. 42. Garzon L. (G) 3. Gomez E. 29. Jara L. 14. Lenny Lobato 21. Mendez J. 11. Pellegrini M. 23. Pernicone P. 18. Vecino T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Serrano V. 🟨,
29', Cabrera I. 🟨,
36', Lucero M. 🟨,
44', Domingo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Pizzini F. ⚽,
52', Segovia A. 🟥,
54', Domingo N. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
58', Lucero M. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
58', Trombini M. ↓, Ayala A. ↑,
72', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
72', Aquino C. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
72', Ordonez C. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
73', Ortiz T. ↓, Brestt F. ↑,
73', Serrano V. ↓, Sabatini I. ↑,
74', Sosa A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Fernandez T. ⚽,
84', Gomez V. ↓, Pernicone P. ↑,
87', Pineiro R. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Sabatini I. ⚽,
90+1', Frascone N. 🟨,
90+1', Caseres S. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0.
Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Vélez is absolute favorite.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-16.