Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)


	Newells Old Boys		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	5
	1.88	3.1	4.6
	1.92	3.15	4.7
	1.91	3.2	4.99
	1.85	2.8	4.4
	1.9	3.08	4.85	Watch
	1.9	3.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	3.1 ↓ (3.22)	4.72 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
49.8%

Draw
30.3%

Gimnasia La Plata
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.9%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

28.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	14.9%	4.3%

Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: Newells Old Boys will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 6. Mosquera J. 25. Velazquez G. 42. Ortiz G. 15. Pitton B. 7. Gomez I. 22. Portillo M. 30. Ferreira C. 26. Sordo R. 28. Recalde J. 18. Aguirre B.	1. Durso T. (G) 6. Enrique G. 4. Morales L. 37. Sanchez F. 18. Colazo N. 5. Miramon I. 15. Sanchez N. 26. Torres F. 20. Lescano A. 7. Dominguez B. 25. Tarragona C.
Substitutes
47. Balzi G. 31. Barlasina W. (G) 49. Contrera J. 34. Esponda M. 17. Giani J. 19. Mansilla F. 14. Mendez A. 43. Montenegro L. S. 8. Perez P. 16. Reasco D. 27. Tica J. 21. Vangioni L.	28. Barros Schelotto B. 14. Bolivar A. 23. Insfran N. (G) 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 36. Mastrangelo D. 19. Napolitano A. 2. Palazzo B. 42. Ramirez A. 11. Ramirez E. 27. Soldano F. 8. Steimbach A.
Coaches
Heinze G.	Romero S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Gimnasia La Plata have a series of guest games.

In this match Newell's Old Boys is a favorite.

There will not play in Newell's Old Boys: Campagnaro M. (Injury) Gonzalez F. (Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Chavez L. (Injury) Guiffrey G. (Injury) Miranda M. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Newell's Old Boys won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.23	Newells Old Boys - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.06.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
12.06.23	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	Santos - Newells Old Boys	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTWT
- Gimnasia La Plata
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Universitario de Deportes - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Central Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
13.06.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	Goiás - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.22	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.10.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.19	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	0:4
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
21.04.19	Newells Old Boys - Gimnasia La Plata	1:3
12.04.19	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:1

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