Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jose Maria Paz (Chivilcoy) 🌤️ ...


	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.20	7.25
	1.33	4.20	7.50
	1.35	4.21	7.49
	1.39	4.26	7.6	Watch
	1.33	4.15	7.40
	1.48	4.06	6.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	7.34 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
66%

Draw
21.7%

Defensores de Vilelas
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

20.9%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dormisch N. (G) 10. Almada L. 3. D'Amelio X. 4. Dauria M. 2. Fiol F. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. (C) 6. Samaniego L. 5. Zarate A.	1. Ferreyra M. (G) 5. Acevedo M. 11. Canario J. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 6. Farias F. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina N. 10. Montenegro R. 7. Remotti L. 2. Turraca J.
Substitutes
14. Bassi E. 16. Fernandez V. 15. Gallo M. 13. Guglielmo A. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 19. Millan J. 20. Ortiz N. 18. Pavone N. 17. Visser B.	13. Lallana F. 19. Larrasabal L. 12. Ledesma L. (G) 16. Montenegro I. 17. Moreno G. 14. Navarro L. 18. Niz L. 20. Ojeda G. 15. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Canete G. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Canario J. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
29', Samaniego L. ↓, Ortiz N. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Medina R. ⚽,
59', 🟨,
60', Turraca J. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
60', Montenegro R. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Medina R. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 2 - 3, Canete G. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
78', 3 - 3, Fiol F. ⚽,
86', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Gimnasia Chivilcoy has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.10.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTW
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.10.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Vilelas	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.10.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1

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