The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 59.6%
Draw 29.9%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
28.1%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
27.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpo Bahia Blanca's performance.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpo Bahia Blanca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 8. Amarilla C. 4. Bellone A. O. 6. Ferreyra M. 10. Guille B. 9. Ibarra C. 3. Lapetina L. 2. Moiraghi N. 7. Olivera M. 11. Ramirez D. 5. Stancato A.
1. Dormisch N. (G) 3. D'Amelio X. 4. Dauria M. 10. Ferreira P. 2. Fiol F. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. 6. Samaniego L. 5. Zarate A.
Substitutes
14. Chimino C. 17. Coacci E. 19. Colmenares M. 18. Espejo L. 15. Fernandez S. 12. Geist C. (G) 13. Hertel L. 20. Susvielles J. 16. Vargas M.
19. Almada L. 14. Bassi E. 17. Fernandez V. 13. Flores F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 16. Millan J. 20. Ortiz N. 15. Pavone N. 18. Visser B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Samaniego L. ↓, Pavone N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 🟨,
60', Ramirez D. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Ferreyra M. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Susvielles J. ⚽,
76', Ibarra C. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Salvaggio M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal Playoffs).
In recent outings, Olimpo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gimnasia Chivilcoy is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Olimpo holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Watch
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Lungarzo J. (G) 
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