Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas (Puerto Vilelas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensores de Vilelas		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.50	5.25
	1.50	3.65	5.50	Watch
	1.63	4.52	4.05
	1.47	4.36	5.69	Watch
	1.54	4.45	3.95
	1.47	4.25	5.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.97)	4.12 ↑ (3.1)	4.97 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
59.6%

Draw
22.1%

Independiente Chivilcoy
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

31.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Vilelas's performance.

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Vilelas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+5%)

Defensores de Vilelas - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreyra M. (G) 5. Acevedo M. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 6. Farias F. 4. Fernandez F. 7. Larrasabal L. 3. Molina N. 11. Montenegro R. 10. Moreno G. 2. Turraca J.	1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Acuna L. 5. D'Annunzio N. 8. Funes F. 7. Hernandez Castro T. J. 4. Mast T. 9. Retamozo L. 10. Rodriguez L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Larrasabal L. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Def de Vilelas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Def de Vilelas is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Chivilcoy - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.33%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Vilelas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWT
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWTL

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