Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez (Concepción del Uruguay)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.65	3.3	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.75
	25.00	13.93	1.03	Watch
	1.68	3.25	5.09
	1.63	3.58	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (1.67)	5.17 ↑ (3.6)	4.15 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
29.3%

Draw
31.5%

Boca Unidos
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay's form might have worsened.

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Unidos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+26.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Boca Unidos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Piz A. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Navarro ⚽,
28', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟥,
59', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Gimnasia y Esgrima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gimnasia y Esgrima is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Sportivo Las Parejas - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Ben Hur	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Douglas Haig - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWL
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Boca Unidos - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1
24.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Boca Unidos	1:0
17.04.22	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0
25.08.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Boca Unidos	2:2
02.05.21	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0
01.03.20	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:4
06.10.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Boca Unidos	1:2

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