Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.05	4.15
	1.85	3.22	4.61
	1.83	3.16	4.86	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.74	3.16	4.76
	1.67	3.2	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	4.66 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
51.4%

Draw
29%

Boca Unidos
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna F. (G) 10. Cansinos R. 4. Diaz Cantoni M. 6. Guzman G. 2. Nunez C. 11. Ochoa A. 9. Roldan I. 5. Sanchez G. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 7. Veliz R.	1. Quijano F. (G) 7. Alonso C. 2. Fuyana J. 11. Gomez L. 4. Gonzalez E. 5. Luduena L. 10. Medina A. 9. Mendoza L. 3. Ramirez L. 6. Schweizer A. 8. Villanueva T.
Substitutes
20. Gutierrez E. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 15. Palavecino M. A. 18. Perrone L. 19. Toloza A. 14. Triverio G. 17. Valdez M. 13. Zaineddin L.	17. Abecasis S. 20. Alfano A. 19. Keko 14. Mbombaj G. 13. Moreyra P. 12. Ojeda L. (G) 16. Ojeda M. 15. Paredez D. 18. Pavon S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Ramirez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Tevez A. ↓, Roldan I. ↑,
58', Guzman G. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
58', Ochoa A. ↓, Triverio G. ↑,
59', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Roldan I. ⚽,
65', Fuyana J. 🟨,
66', Cansinos R. ↓, Zaineddin L. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Roldan I. ⚽,
69', Gonzalez E. ↓, Keko ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Gutierrez E. ⚽,
77', Alonso C. ↓, Alfano A. ↑,
77', Medina A. ↓, Abecasis S. ↑,
78', Roldan I. ↓, Perrone L. ↑,
78', Villanueva T. ↓, Paredez D. ↑,
78', Luduena L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
90', Gomez L. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sarmiento La Banda is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Sarmiento de La Banda - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Tucuman Central	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTT
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Boca Unidos - Sol de América de Formosa	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Boca Unidos - Tucuman Central	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1
15.06.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	1:0
13.04.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1
19.05.24	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1
22.03.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	1:0

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