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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay 31.4%
Draw 38.9%
Sportivo Belgrano 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
31.7%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
32.9%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baro R. (G) 5. Altamirano L. 9. Bogado M. 4. Casares J. 8. Favre A. 11. Garcia A. 10. Germanier N. 3. Gomez N. 6. Laumann F. 2. Palladino T. 7. Rocca F.
1. Martina L. (G) 11. Bono J. 8. Churchi S. 6. Ferrero G. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 5. Gimenez J. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Mercado E. 2. Paiz J. 3. Pennesi T. 10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
17. Baltore D. 13. Benitez J. 19. Dening L. 16. Marquez E. 12. Rebora E. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 20. Sonzogni A. 14. Suarez N. 18. Valle T.
14. Alessi L. 18. Arostegui J. I. 19. Bassani J. 12. Bravo P. (G) 16. Contreras P. 15. Franceschi E. 20. Pastorelli A. 17. Tarifa G. 13. Vidal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟨,
37', Pennesi T. 🟨,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1.
In recent matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sportivo Belgrano is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Esgrima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).