Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.95
				Watch
	2.75	2.85	3.08
	2.63	2.77	3.22	Watch
	2.5	2.63	3.1
	2.63	2.69	3.17	Watch
	2.66	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.43)	2.76 ↑ (2.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
36.1%

Draw
34%

Independiente
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

34.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

33.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 13. Osella A. 10. Fernandez M. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 3. Elordi J. M. 22. Villa S. 43. Sartori F. 11. Rios G.	33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 22. Zabala F. 23. Marcone I. 25. Pussetto I. 8. Millan L. 40. Malcorra I. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
15. Arena N. 19. Atencio R. 36. Bonifacio E. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 7. Ramis V. 32. Vazquez K. A.	4. Arias S. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 41. De Las Carreras M. 13. Fedorco J. 6. Freire N. 11. Mancuello F. 17. Mazzantti W. 24. Palais J. 30. Parmo T. 16. Perez Curci M. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Berti A.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Osella A. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Pussetto I. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
46', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽, Arias S. (A),
50', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Abaldo M. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
58', Costa L. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
71', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
71', Rios G. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
80', Fernandez M. 🟨,
84', Millan L. ↓, Perez Curci M. ↑,
84', Malcorra I. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
84', Fernandez M. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A. (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Independiente: Cabral L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Independiente: Montiel S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.26	Independiente - Lanús	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Platense - Independiente	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
27.07.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.01.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	0:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.14	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	2:1
01.09.13	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0

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