Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Independiente

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.82	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.55	Watch
	3.24	2.95	2.6
	3.11	2.92	2.58	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.5
	3.14	2.81	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.9)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.55 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
30%

Draw
33%

Independiente
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

30.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Newells Old Boys - Independiente Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Newells Old Boys (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 3. Luciano M. 19. Gomez J. 26. Herrera R. 10. Acuna V. 20. Guch F. 13. Coccaro M. 27. Herrera L.	33. Rey R. (C) 29. Godoy L. 26. Lomonaco K. 13. Fedorco J. 22. Zabala F. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 8. Millan L. 40. Malcorra I. 17. Mazzantti W. 9. Avalos G. 19. Abaldo M.
Substitutes
1. Barlasina W. (G) 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 9. Hoyos M. 6. Mosquera J. 33. Nunez W. 7. Orozco F. 5. Regiardo L. 24. Risso G. 28. Russo J. 22. Salomon O. 8. Sotelo D.	38. Barros L. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 6. Freire N. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 24. Palais J. 16. Perez Curci M. 25. Pussetto I. 27. Tarzia D. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Orsi F.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽,
38', Millan L. 🟨,
45', Luciano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Acuna V. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
46', Luciano M. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
51', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
58', Coccaro M. 🟨,
63', Guch F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
63', Herrera L. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
67', Mazzantti W. ↓, Perez Curci M. ↑,
67', Millan L. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
82', Malcorra I. 🟨,
82', Herrera R. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
84', Malcorra I. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
84', Abaldo M. ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Nunez W. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 3.

Newells Old Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Independiente will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Cabrera B. (Red Card) Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Montero A. (Inactive) Reinatti J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S. (Red Card)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Independiente - Everton de Viña	5:3 ✺
10.01.26	Independiente - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.11.25	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.11.24	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	2:1
11.07.23	Independiente - Newells Old Boys	0:2
24.09.22	Independiente - Newells Old Boys	1:0
31.10.21	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.21	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.19	Independiente - Newells Old Boys	2:3
17.08.18	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	2:2

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