Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.69
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.48)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)	3.4 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
44.3%

Draw
28.7%

Barcelona B
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

32.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ourense CF - Barcelona B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barcelona B will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Andrada F. 19. Rodriguez M. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 6. Fidalgo A. 23. Fullana F. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.	1. Astralaga A. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 5. Dominguez S. 14. Cortes A. 17. Lopez R. 37. Fernandez T. 20. Fernandez G. 29. Farinas B. 8. Garrido A. (C) 19. Dacosta R. 24. Bikoue
Substitutes
14. del Olmo I. 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 5. Prado M. 8. Ramos J. 20. Sanchez A.	22. Anaya J. 34. Espart X. 32. Farre L. 30. Hernandez J. 10. Hernandez U. 25. Oduro D. 12. Piera J. 45. Virgili J. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Bikoue 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dominguez S. ↓, Farre L. ↑,
63', Fullana F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
63', Raigal J. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
70', Andrada F. 🟨,
71', Andrada F. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
71', Gil A. ↓,
72', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽,
82', Cortes A. ↓, Anaya J. ↑,
82', Farinas B. ↓, Espart X. ↑,
82', Fernandez T. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
84', Fidalgo A. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
86', Bikoue ↓, Piera J. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barcelona B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.01.25	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.25	Ourense CF - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Ourense CF - Lugo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ourense CF - Valladolid	3:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TLWWL
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.01.25	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
13.12.24	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Barcelona B - Celta de Vigo B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.09.24	Barcelona B - Ourense CF	3:0

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