Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Barca TV, FEF TV


	Barcelona B		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.75	3.85	4.21
	1.71	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.56
	1.75	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	4.23 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
52.5%

Draw
26%

Gimnástica Segoviana
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

21.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona B's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barcelona B - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kochen D. (G) 22. Anaya J. 4. Mbacke M. 5. Dominguez S. 17. Lopez R. 8. Garrido A. (C) 39. Soma P. 20. Fernandez G. 16. Fernandez T. 10. Godoy A. 19. Dacosta R.	1. Carmona P. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 17. Chupo 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Farrell J. 10. Borrego J. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
15. Aziz Issah A. 24. Bikoue 14. Cortes A. 27. Cuenca A. 21. Darvich N. 29. Farinas B. 32. Farre L. 25. Oduro D. 12. Piera J. 45. Virgili J. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	18. Cespedes M. 8. Diaz H. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 44. Oliva H. (G) 6. Olmedilla M. 30. Pichu 16. Sanz R. 20. Tellechea I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Fernandez T. ⚽,
34', Farrell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Garrido A. ↓, Farinas B. ↑,
53', Mbacke M. 🟨,
54', Borrego J. ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
60', Anaya J. ↓, Farre L. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Lopez R. (Own goal),
69', Chupo 🟨,
71', Mbacke M. ↓, Cortes A. ↑,
71', Fernandez T. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
73', Berlanga M. ↓, Cespedes M. ↑,
73', Chupo ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
73', Farrell J. ↓, Sanz R. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Juan Silva ⚽,
79', Lopez D. 🟨,
82', De La Mata J. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
87', Fernandez G. ↓, Darvich N. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Barcelona B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Real Sociedad B - Barcelona B	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ourense CF - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
18.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
22.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barcelona B	2:2

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