Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Osasuna B		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3	3	2.2
	3.15	2.95	2.19
	3.13	3.18	2.31
	3.13	3.1	2.24	Watch
	3.44	2.92	2.3
	3.15	2.95	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.16)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)	2.23 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
28.6%

Draw
30.5%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna B's form might have worsened.

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástic de Tarragona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Stamatakis D. (G) 2. Moreno D. 18. Espejo D. 24. Sierra I. 22. Arguibide I. 8. Osambela A. 6. Echegoyen M. 21. Garcia J. 14. Huarte X. 20. Arroyo R. 16. Ogbuehi S.	1. Varo A. (C) 20. Miguel 3. Perez G. 15. Leal A. 7. Junca D. 10. Jardi J. 19. Torres R. 6. Gorostidi A. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin 18. Jimenez A.
Substitutes
23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 7. Lumbreras C. 10. Morales A. 17. Moreno P. 5. Mutilva C. 12. Pedroarena M. 9. Sancho D. 15. Santos U. 13. Valencia P. (G)	23. Concha D. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P. 12. Granero B. 8. Montalvo M. 21. Oriol J. 13. Rebollo D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Junca D. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Garcia J. (Pen),
24', Arroyo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Huarte X. 🟨,
62', Jimenez A. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
66', Huarte X. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
66', Arroyo R. ↓, Pedroarena M. ↑,
70', Perez G. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
70', Narro V. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Jardi J. (Pen),
78', Moreno D. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Echegoyen M. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
81', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
85', Junca D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
85', Antonin ↓, Oriol J. ↑,
88', Garcia J. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
89', Miguel 🟨,
90', Mutilva C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gimnàstic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osasuna B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.02.25	Lugo - Osasuna B	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	Osasuna B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Numancia - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
21.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.10.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Osasuna B	2:0
28.01.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Osasuna B	1:1
05.11.23	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Osasuna B	1:1
08.12.22	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0

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