Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ourense CF		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.75	2.65
	2.86	2.92	2.88
	2.73	2.81	2.73	Watch
	2.72	2.9	2.8
	2.7	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.48)	2.82 ↓ (2.87)	2.74 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
33.8%

Draw
32.6%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 11. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. (C) 23. Fullana F. 6. Fidalgo A. 20. Sanchez A. 7. Carbonell J.	1. Varo A. (G) 20. Miguel 15. Leal A. 12. Granero B. 21. Oriol J. (C) 10. Jardi J. 19. Torres R. 17. Fernandez P. 6. Gorostidi A. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 10. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 22. Noriega J. 17. Prada R. 21. Raigal J. 19. Rodriguez M. 12. Teijo E.	23. Concha D. 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 18. Jimenez A. 8. Montalvo M. 3. Perez G. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 14. Sanz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Xesc Fullana ⚽,
31', Granero B. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Fernandez P. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Carbonell J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Antonin ⚽,
65', Jardi J. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
65', Torres R. ↓, Sanz O. ↑,
65', Leal A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
71', Gil A. ↓,
79', 🟨,
79', Miguel 🟨,
79', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
80', Sanchez A. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
86', Oriol J. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
87', Xesc Fullana ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
90+2', Ramos J. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gimnàstic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	FC Andorra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ourense CF - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTTT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.08.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ourense CF	1:1

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