Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.28	2.78	3.4
	2.31	2.63	3.85
	2.54	2.65	3.34	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.3
	2.23	3.12	3.33
	2.25	2.54	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.53)	2.76 ↓ (2.98)	3.44 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
40.1%

Draw
33.2%

Sabadell
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabadell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eldense - Sabadell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 3. Smand F. 2. Serradell A. G. 17. Clemente J. 18. Macho G. 12. Molina M. 6. Calvo B. 10. Fidel 9. Dioni 7. Quintana Nacho	1. Fuoli D. (G) 7. Ripoll T. 5. Bonaldo 3. Fornes G. 23. Priego J. 24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 16. Godoy A.
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.	2. Aleman C. 17. Coscia A. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
10', Liameed Q. 🟨,
15', Godoy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Godoy A. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
50', Bonaldo 🟨,
64', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
65', Liameed Q. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
67', Dioni ↓, Bustillo M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Fornes G. ⚽,
73', Rodri ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
78', Molina M. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
80', Ripoll T. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
80', Lopez J. ↓, Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↑,
84', Macho G. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
90+2', Quintana Nacho ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
90+2', Fidel ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
90+8', Bellari H. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Eldense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eldense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.66%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Eldense - Teruel	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.02.26	Sabadell - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Sabadell - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Teruel - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sabadell - Marbella	5:0 ✺
03.01.26	Hércules - Sabadell	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.08.25	Sabadell - Eldense	0:0
19.02.23	Eldense - Sabadell	1:0
09.10.22	Sabadell - Eldense	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.04.17	Eldense - Sabadell	0:5
13.11.16	Sabadell - Eldense	1:1
10.01.16	Sabadell - Eldense	4:1
22.08.15	Eldense - Sabadell	2:2

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