Match Info

K League 2 - Round 29

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gimpo Salter Soccer Field (Gimpo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	16:30	Coupang Play, IB Sports
International	07:30	K League TV


	Gimpo		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4	Watch
	1.80	3.25	3.90
	1.85	3.25	3.95
	1.89	3.41	4.54
	1.8	3.55	4.41	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.45
	1.86	3.42	4.15	Watch
	1.84	3.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.35 ↓ (3.56)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimpo
50.3%

Draw
27.5%

Paju Frontier
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimpo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gimpo - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimpo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Son Jeong-Hyeon (C) 3. Park Kyung-Rok 47. Kim Dong-Min 44. Lee Yong-Hyeok 17. Lim C. 13. Park Sang-hyoun 16. Kim Sung-Joon 23. Kim M. 11. Lee Si-Heon 50. Park Dong-Jin 96. Paulo Henrique	1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 34. Noh S. 81. Kim Min-Ho 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 5. Sim Min-Yong 88. Lee Taek-Geun 40. Amos L. 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 10. Lee Joon-Suk 18. Lee Jea-Ho 92. Baston B.
Substitutes
8. Djalma 32. Jang Bu-seong 7. Kim Do-Hyeok 20. Kim Min-Seog 5. Lee Chan-hyung 14. Lee Hak-Min 1. Lee Sang-min (G) 40. Nam Hyeon-u 66. Park Byung-Hyun	70. Ahn June Hyuk 33. Bonilla J. 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 22. Lee Min-Ki 17. Park S. 7. Walterson Silva 19. You Jae-jun
Coaches
Ko Jeong-woon	Nus G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', Park Sang-hyoun 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Hong Jeong-un ⚽, Baston B. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Paulo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lee Yong-Hyeok ↓, Lee Chan-hyung ↑,
46', Kim M. ↓, Jang Bu-seong ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Lee Chan-hyung ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Kim Sung-Joon ⚽, Park Dong-Jin (A),
70', Amos L. ↓, You Jae-jun ↑,
70', Hong Jeong-un ↓, Kim Hyun-Tae ↑,
72', Kim Sung-Joon ↓, Djalma ↑,
76', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
76', Park Sang-hyoun ↓, Kim Do-Hyeok ↑,
77', Lee Min-Ki 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Park Dong-Jin ⚽,
83', Lee Joon-Suk ↓, Ahn June Hyuk ↑,
83', Choi Bum-Kyung ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
85', Lee Si-Heon ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 12th).

Gimpo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paju Frontier has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gimpo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Gimpo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gimpo for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gimpo has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:3 (averaging 2.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimpo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gimpo FC	28	9	11	8	36:34	2	38
12	Paju Frontier	28	8	7	13	27:34	-7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
09.10.26	Gimpo - Seoul E-Land	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gimpo - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimpo	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gimpo - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLL
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
10.10.26	Paju Frontier - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Paju Frontier - Daegu	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gyeongnam - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Seoul E-Land - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
25.05.26	Paju Frontier - Gimpo	0:1
South Korean K3 League
25.09.21	Gimpo - Paju Frontier	3:1
22.05.21	Paju Frontier - Gimpo	0:1
South Korean Cup
06.06.20	Paju Frontier - Gimpo	2:4 ET

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