Match Info

J3 League - Round 16

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.15	3.65	Watch
	1.97	3.47	3.78
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.93	3.34	3.97	Watch
	1.92	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3.73 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
47.1%

Draw
28.5%

Azul Claro Numazu
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.5%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giravanz Kitakyushu will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giravanz Kitakyushu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 4. Hasegawa K. 28. Konomi K. 32. Takayanagi F. 11. Kiyama K. 21. Ushinohama T. 99. Kabayama R. 17. Okano R. 9. Kawabe S.	1. Watanabe K. (G) 16. Mihara S. 28. Inoue K. 4. Rissi G. 2. Miyawaki S. 71. Watanabe R. 24. Yanagimachi K. 14. Tokunaga K. 6. Toyama H. 9. Suzuki W. I. 19. Saito M.
Substitutes
13. Higashi R. 29. Koh S. 76. Sakamoto K. 23. Sakamoto K. 42. Sera T. 27. Tanaka Y. (G) 25. Tsubogo R. 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.	17. Fujii K. 3. Lucas Sena 21. Maeda H. (G) 35. Mukai H. 15. Nakamura Y. 7. Numata K. 5. Shinozaki T. 23. Shirawachi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Suzuki W. I. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Ushinohama T. ⚽, Kawabe S. (A),
45+1', Kiyama K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saito M. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
62', Hasegawa K. ↓, Higashi R. ↑,
62', Kawabe S. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
71', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
71', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
78', Ushinohama T. ↓, Yoshihara F. ↑,
81', Mihara S. 🟨,
84', Inoue K. 🟨,
87', Yoshihara F. 🟨,
88', Toyama H. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
88', Mihara S. ↓, Lucas Sena ↑,
90', Koh S. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
90', Okano R. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 1.

Giravanz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azul Claro Numazu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giravanz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Giravanz has had a series of away games.

Giravanz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Giravanz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Tochigi City - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Beluga Rosso Iwami - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WLTWW
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.11.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1
16.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
16.09.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1
01.07.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1
30.07.22	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
10.04.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:0

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