Match Info

J3 League - Round 13

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.17	3.2	3.05
	2.23	3.33	3.17
	2.26	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.29	3.22	3.12	Watch
	2.17	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	3.07 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
41.4%

Draw
28.7%

Nagano Parceiro
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Watanabe K. (G) 16. Mihara S. 5. Shinozaki T. 28. Inoue K. 2. Miyawaki S. 18. Sugai T. (C) 24. Yanagimachi K. 14. Tokunaga K. 10. Sato N. 9. Suzuki W. I. 8. Suzuki K.	21. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Hasegawa Y. 7. Ono Y. (C) 24. Sunamori K. 33. Ando K. 46. Koga S. 22. Yoshida K. 17. Kutsuna K. 14. Sanda N. 10. Yamanaka R. 18. Ukita K.
Substitutes
17. Fujii K. 22. Ichimaru D. 20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 11. Mori Y. 35. Mukai H. 15. Nakamura Y. 7. Numata K. 19. Saito M.	20. Kano H. 13. Konishi H. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 3. Tomita K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Sanda N. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
66', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
70', Yoshida K. ↓, Lim Ji-hoon ↑,
70', Yamanaka R. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
70', Ando K. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
73', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
84', Ukita K. ↓, Shin K. ↑,
90+2', Sato N. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
90+2', Mihara S. ↓, Ichimaru D. ↑,
90+2', Suzuki K. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Azul Claro Numazu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Azul Claro Numazu has had a series of away games.

Azul Claro Numazu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Nagano Parceiro - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Nara Club - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Kagoshima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
14.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	2:2 ✺
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Nagano Parceiro - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.10.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	1:1
30.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1
29.10.23	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:0
28.05.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	1:0
25.09.22	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1
04.05.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	1:0
21.11.21	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1

Upcoming Matches