Match Info

J3 League - Round 15

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.15	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.87
	2.04	3.29	3.68	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.03	3.23	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	3.17 ↑ (2.85)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
46%

Draw
28.8%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

31.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Tochigi City - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tochigi City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tochigi City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 20. Tosa R. 16. Kato Jo 77. Tanaka P. J. 99. Hiraoka M. 23. Yoshida A.	41. Sugimoto M. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 28. Konomi K. 11. Kiyama K. 14. Izawa H. 32. Takayanagi F. 99. Kabayama R. 17. Okano R. 18. Watanabe S.
Substitutes
17. Fujiwara T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 28. Konishi K. 8. Mori T. 11. Omotehara G. 29. Saito K. 27. Umezawa K. 90. Utaka P. 26. Utsugi S.	4. Hasegawa K. 9. Kawabe S. 29. Koh S. 76. Sakamoto K. 34. Takayoshi S. 27. Tanaka Y. (G) 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Aizawa P. 🟨,
25', Izawa H. 🟨,
27', Kabayama R. 🟨,
28', Izawa H. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
32', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabayama R. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,
58', Yoshida A. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
63', Watanabe S. ↓, Koh S. ↑,
68', Kato Jo ↓, Utsugi S. ↑,
68', Hiraoka M. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
68', Okano R. ↓, Takayoshi S. ↑,
74', Koh S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Utaka P. ⚽,
81', Konomi K. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
81', Takayanagi F. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
83', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Fujiwara T. ↑,
83', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Mori T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Giravanz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tochigi City could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Tochigi City - Gifu	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tochigi City - Osaka	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTWW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Beluga Rosso Iwami - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWT

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