Match Info

J3 League - Round 20

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.78
	3.5	3.3	1.92	Watch
	3.59	3.57	2.04
				Watch
	4	3.2	1.8
	3.63	3.46	1.87	Watch
	4.05	3.2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
24.1%

Draw
27.3%

Tochigi City
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.3%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 4. Hasegawa K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 22. Yamawaki K. 14. Izawa H. 34. Takayoshi S. 6. Hoshi K. 32. Takayanagi F. 49. Komazawa N. 10. Nagai R.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 8. Mori T. 14. Sekino G. 77. Tanaka P. J. 99. Hiraoka M. 79. Saito K.
Substitutes
13. Higashi R. 9. Kawabe S. 11. Kiyama K. 28. Konomi K. 17. Okano R. 66. Takahashi D. 27. Tanaka Y. (G) 21. Ushinohama T. 20. Yada A.	1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 16. Kato J. 28. Konishi K. 13. Oshima T. 9. Tokura K. 90. Utaka P. 26. Utsugi S. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Nagai R. ⚽,
24', Izawa H. ↓, Ushinohama T. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Tanaka P. J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Jonjic M. ⚽,
45+2', Ushinohama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Nagai R. ↓, Takahashi D. ↑,
64', Sekino G. ↓, Utsugi S. ↑,
66', Okui R. 🟨,
71', Saito K. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
71', Hiraoka M. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
71', Mori T. ↓, Kato J. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Jonjic M. ⚽,
80', Ushinohama T. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
80', Yamawaki K. ↓, Okano R. ↑,
80', Hoshi K. ↓, Konomi K. ↑,
90+4', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Recent performances by Giravanz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tochigi City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Tochigi City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giravanz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Nara Club - Giravanz Kitakyushu	4:0 ✺
28.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gainare Tottori	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Kochi United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LLLWW
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Tochigi City - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Tochigi City - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Nara Club - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Tochigi City - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
08.06.25	Tochigi City - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0

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