Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.25	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.78
	3.35	3.05	2.26	Watch
	3.55	2.99	2.36
	3.56	2.89	2.28	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.85
	3.78	2.89	2.22	Watch
	3.35	3.05	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.58)	3.02 ↓ (3.74)	2.16 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
25.6%

Draw
31%

Yokohama FC
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.1%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.4%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giravanz Kitakyushu's performance.

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yokohama FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giravanz Kitakyushu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yokohama FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giravanz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Giravanz (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Yokohama FC will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giravanz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanaka Y. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 76. Sakamoto K. 32. Takayanagi F. 11. Kiyama K. 25. Tsubogo R. 8. Machida Y. 21. Ushinohama T. 18. Watanabe S.	1. Phelipe Megiolaro (G) 3. Suzuki J. 19. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 70. Hosoi K. 39. Endo T. 34. Ogura H. 28. Kumakura K. 20. Murata T. 49. Komazawa N. 33. Muroi K. 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 9. Kawabe S. 31. Otani K. (G) 34. Takayoshi S. 20. Yada A. 22. Yamawaki K. 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.	17. Arai M. 40. Endo M. (G) 50. Hata J. 15. Ito S. 18. Mori K. 14. Nakano Y. 13. Ogawa K. 45. Sota T.
Coaches
Masumoto K.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Komazawa N. ⚽,
30', Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsubogo R. ↓, Yoshihara F. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Sakamoto K. (Own goal),
52', Murata T. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Watanabe S. (Pen),
61', Machida Y. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
63', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
63', Komazawa N. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
72', Kiyama K. ↓, Takayoshi S. ↑,
72', Ushinohama T. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
83', Muroi K. ↓, Ito S. ↑,
83', Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
87', Endo T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
90', Watanabe S. ↓, Yada A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Giravanz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yokohama FC is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWLW
- Yokohama FC
Japan J1 League
13.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Gifu - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.07.16	Yokohama FC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2
09.04.16	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC	0:4
04.10.15	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC	3:1
17.05.15	Yokohama FC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
23.11.14	Yokohama FC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
03.05.14	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC	2:1
04.08.13	Yokohama FC - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2

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