Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Nagoya Grampus		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.3
	2.57	2.77	2.97	Watch
	2.52	2.97	3.38
	2.7	2.84	3.04	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.62	2.87	3.1	Watch
	2.6	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nagoya Grampus
37.3%

Draw
32.8%

Yokohama FC
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Yokohama FC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 3. Sato Y. 6. Kawazura A. 27. Nakayama K. 15. Inagaki S. 8. Shiihashi K. 7. Izumi R. 9. Asano Y. 14. Morishima T. 10. Mateus	21. Ichikawa A. (G) 30. Yamazaki K. 2. Nduka B. 5. Fukumori A. 8. Yamane T. 6. Komai Y. 33. Muroi K. 48. Shimbo K. 49. Komazawa N. 76. Yamada K. 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
26. Kato G. 33. Kikuchi T. 4. Miya D. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 44. Soichiro M. 30. Sugiura S. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 17. Uchida T.	17. Arai M. 16. Ito M. 15. Ito S. 4. Lara Y. 11. Lukian 20. Murata T. 1. Phelipe Megiolaro (G) 3. Suzuki J. 7. Suzuki M.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.	Yomoda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Nakayama K. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Izumi R. ⚽, Mateus (A),
23', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
25', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
31', Kawazura A. 🟨,
38', Inagaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shimbo K. ↓, Murata T. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Inagaki S. (Pen),
57', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Lukian ↑,
57', Komazawa N. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
57', Ogura H. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
68', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
68', Nakayama K. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
80', Yamada K. ↓, Lara Y. ↑,
84', Asano Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Suzuki M. ⚽, Yamane T. (A),
90+6', Morishima T. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 4.

Nagoya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yokohama FC is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.

Nagoya will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Ono M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Yokohama FC: Shibuya T. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FC: Suzuki M. (Inactive)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:13 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nagoya Grampus
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus	0:3 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Gifu - Yokohama FC	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	1:3
Japan J1 League
02.09.23	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	1:1
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	0:2
05.04.23	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	3:2
Japan J1 League
18.02.23	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	0:1
09.08.21	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	2:0
17.03.21	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	3:0

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