Match Info

J3 League - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toho (Fukushima) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Fukushima United		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.70	2.75
	2.02	3.6	2.85	Watch
	2.12	3.93	2.82
	2.12	3.98	2.88	Watch
	2.02	3.85	2.75
	2.11	3.58	2.82	Watch
	2.06	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)	2.82 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
43.8%

Draw
24.1%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-1%)

Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 37. Sasaki N. 17. Fujitani T. 5. Toma H. 28. Suzu N. 96. Yoshida J. 10. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 7. Ashibe K. 40. Higuchi H. (C) 8. Okada Y.	31. Otani K. (G) 30. Fukumori K. 28. Yokokubo K. 3. Kamihashi R. 20. Yasumitsu S. 66. Takahashi D. (C) 18. Hiramatsu S. 14. Izawa H. 8. Yoshinaga M. 52. Nishimura M. 11. Koh S.
Substitutes
23. Anzai T. 13. Higuchi A. 20. Izumi S. 78. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 14. Nakamura T. 44. Okuda K. 9. Shimizu K. 29. Tsuchiya K. 66. Uehara M.	27. Hara K. 4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 9. Kawabe S. 16. Maruyama S. 5. Narasaka T. 51. Sakashita Y. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 19. Yoshihara F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Higuchi H. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Kano K. ⚽,
58', Nishimura M. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
58', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
58', Izawa H. ↓, Sakashita Y. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Higuchi H. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Takahashi D. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Yoshida J. ↓, Higuchi A. ↑,
73', Higuchi H. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
77', Fukumori K. ↓, Yoshihara F. ↑,
81', Koh S. 🟨,
82', Sasaki N. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
82', Ashibe K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
87', Yasumitsu S. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
88', Harigaya T. ↓, Tsuchiya K. ↑,
90+3', Kawabe S. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 4.

Fukushima United is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Giravanz have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Giravanz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Fukushima United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Fukushima United has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fukushima United against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Giravanz Kitakyushu	13	4	4	5	19:22	-3	16
14	Fukushima Utd	13	4	2	7	26:29	-3	14

Last Results with these Odds

Fukushima United - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.07%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
17.10.26	Gifu - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Fukushima United - Reilac Shiga	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Fukushima United - Mito HollyHock	0:7 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Fukushima United - Nagano Parceiro	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLW
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
17.10.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Nara Club - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nagoya Grampus	1:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
09.11.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fukushima United	1:2
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
31.08.24	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
29.06.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fukushima United	2:1
26.11.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fukushima United	1:2
22.07.23	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
25.09.22	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1

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