Match Info

J3 League - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.8	2.95	2.49
	3.02	2.9	2.57	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	3.03	3.03	2.45	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.65)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
32.2%

Draw
31.2%

Osaka
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

30%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 28. Konomi K. 34. Takayoshi S. 14. Izawa H. (C) 99. Kabayama R. 7. Hirahara R. 17. Okano R. 10. Nagai R.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 6. Tachino S. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 24. Sato R. 27. Sawazaki R. 33. Woo S. 11. Tone R. 7. Kitsui T. (C) 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
13. Higashi R. 9. Kawabe S. 11. Kiyama K. 31. Otani K. (G) 23. Sakamoto K. 76. Sakamoto K. 32. Takayanagi F. 21. Ushinohama T. 18. Watanabe S.	22. Hayashida K. 68. Hirabuki G. (G) 20. Horikoshi D. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 51. Nishimura M. 14. Sumida S. 37. Tsutsumi S. 17. Wada H.
Coaches
Masumoto K.	Otake N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Kabayama R. ⚽,
65', Kitsui T. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
65', Tone R. ↓, Tsutsumi S. ↑,
76', Nagai R. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
77', Shimada T. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
84', Hirahara R. ↓, Ushinohama T. ↑,
84', Kabayama R. ↓, Takayanagi F. ↑,
88', Tachino S. ↓, Minakuchi Y. ↑,
88', Sato R. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
90+2', Izawa H. ↓, Kiyama K. ↑,
90+3', Okano R. ↓, Higashi R. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Giravanz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Osaka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giravanz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Osaka have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
15.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLWWW
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tochigi - Osaka	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
19.10.24	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:2
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0
24.09.23	Osaka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0
16.07.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0

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