The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giresunspor 46.7%
Draw 27.6%
İstanbulspor 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.9%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
23.3%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giresunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giresunspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
35%
15%
Giresunspor - İstanbulspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Giresunspor will win (votes: 10 - 50%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%). Confidence interval (95%) for Giresunspor: 28.1% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Giresunspor has the most likely position - 19 (17.01%), has project points - 34, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
İstanbulspor has the most likely position - 19 (20.77%), has project points - 33, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, importance51, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
Giresunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Giresunspor is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Giresunspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Giresunspor won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.