Match Info

Date: 4 November 2021, Thursday


	Girona		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	7	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.25
	1.62	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.75	6.6
	1.57	3.88	7.32
	1.6	3.5	5.8
	1.56	3.85	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	6.42 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
59.7%

Draw
25.7%

Alcorcón
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

16.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Girona - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Girona has the most likely position - 6 (7.62%), has project points - 61, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (48.35%), has project points - 36, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Girona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Girona is absolute favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Girona won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
31.10.21	Fuenlabrada - Girona	1:2 ✺
25.10.21	Girona - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
21.10.21	Mirandés - Girona	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Girona - Huesca	1:3 ✺
09.10.21	Lugo - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
20.10.21	Alcorcón - Leganés	3:3 ✺
16.10.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Alcorcón - Burgos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Girona - Alcorcón	1:0
27.11.20	Alcorcón - Girona	1:0
20.07.20	Alcorcón - Girona	2:0
27.10.19	Girona - Alcorcón	0:0
20.05.17	Girona - Alcorcón	0:0
11.12.16	Alcorcón - Girona	2:1
29.05.16	Girona - Alcorcón	2:0

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