Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Las Palmas		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.5
	1.68	3.35	5.75	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5.4
	1.67	3.64	6.31
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.67	3.68	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	5.72 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
56.5%

Draw
27.1%

Alcorcón
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

22.7%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Las Palmas - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 7 (6.76%), has project points - 60, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Alcorcón has the most likely position - 22 (29.25%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.21	Lugo - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
16.10.21	Las Palmas - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Almería - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Las Palmas - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
25.09.21	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
20.10.21	Alcorcón - Leganés	3:3 ✺
16.10.21	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Alcorcón - Burgos	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Alcorcón - Real Sociedad B	1:4 ✺
26.09.21	Valladolid - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.21	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	0:0
13.12.20	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0
22.02.20	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	1:1
09.11.19	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	1:1
23.02.19	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	2:0
06.10.18	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0
21.02.15	Alcorcón - Las Palmas	0:0

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