The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugo 31.6%
Draw 31.2%
Girona 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
22.6%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+17.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.7%
23.3%
30%
Lugo - Girona Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). Girona will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lugo: 28.8% – 64.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Lugo has the most likely position - 21 (9.25%), has project points - 48, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona has the most likely position - 4 (7.35%), has project points - 62, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Recent matches Lugo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Girona is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.
Watch
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