Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Gonzalez Diaz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Alcorcón		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.6	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.32	2.72
	2.64	3.32	2.71
	2.62	3.2	2.6
	2.69	3.25	2.66	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.79)	3.25 ↑ (3.04)	2.65 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
35.7%

Draw
28.9%

Burgos
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

31%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

31.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Burgos aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	57.9%	15.8%

Alcorcón - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 29. Callis E. 2. Castro J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 17. Garcia V. 15. Lara J. 14. Fede 22. Artola J. 8. Rodriganez J. 10. Juanma Bravo	1. Badiashile L. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Aitor Cordoba (C) 20. Sierra G. 8. Martin A. 11. Alex 21. Montiel J. 5. Atienza M. 7. Ojeda D. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
24. Bilbao I. 23. Chema 18. Eteki Y. 32. Garcia I. 28. Garrido J. 20. Lopez I. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 31. Ruiz Delgado A. (G) 33. Sanca M. 11. Sousa D.	10. Bermejo A. 28. del Cerro S. 14. Elgezabal U. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 27. Moral J. (G) 22. Munoz M. 30. Ricoy L.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Bolo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garcia V. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
47', Aitor Cordoba ↓, Elgezabal U. ↑,
47', Rodriganez J. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Sousa D. ⚽, Fede (A),
59', Nino F. ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
59', Ojeda D. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
60', Montiel J. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Alex ⚽, Curro (A),
80', Lara J. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
85', Alex ↓, Ricoy L. ↑,
88', Fede ↓, Garrido J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Alcorcón is Relegated to

Alcorcón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Burgos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Levante - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
19.05.24	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Ferrol - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Cartagena - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Alcorcón - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLLT
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	FC Andorra - Burgos	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Zaragoza - Burgos	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2
04.02.22	Burgos - Alcorcón	3:1
10.10.21	Alcorcón - Burgos	1:0
Club Friendly
26.07.17	Burgos - Alcorcón	1:2

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