Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Girona		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	3.10	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.00
	2.10	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.34	3.55	3.14
	2.24	3.44	3.17	Watch
	2.20	3.50	3.20
	2.14	3.53	3.30	Watch
	2.20	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
42.8%

Draw
27.1%

Castellón
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Girona - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Castellón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 5. Lopez D. (C) 38. Zamorano H. 11. Moreno A. 8. Beltran F. 24. Gonzalez I. 22. Asprilla Y. 9. Ruiz A. 17. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.	13. Matthys R. (G) 2. Juanjo Nieto 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar L. 26. Rego R. 6. Orozco M. 8. Barri 17. Castillo F. 10. Suero I. 9. Camara O.
Substitutes
4. Bonar J. 33. Furtado M. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 14. Morante I. 3. Morey M. 2. Mumin A. 23. Perez C. 1. Puig S. (G) 15. Pyshchur O. 7. Stuani C. 6. van de Beek D.	21. Alvaro 19. Bellari H. 11. Ceccherini F. 14. Cordoba I. 27. Gala A. 23. Garcia A. 16. Jakobsen A. 22. Mellot J. 1. Saipi A. (G) 7. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 25. Vlak J.
Coaches
Alvarez Q.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Zamorano H. ⚽,
14', Gil B. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
45+3', Ruiz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alcazar L. ↓, Mellot J. ↑,
52', Ruiz A. 🟨,
56', Rego R. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
56', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
57', Asprilla Y. ↓, Bonar J. ↑,
57', Vanat V. ↓, Pyshchur O. ↑,
67', Barri ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
73', Perez C. 🟨,
76', Jimenez A. 🟨,
77', Castillo F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Sienra A. ⚽,
82', Frances A. ↓, Morante I. ↑,
82', Perez C. ↓, Mumin A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
88', Orozco M. 🟨,
90+4', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
90+9', Pyshchur O. 🟨,

Preview

Girona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Castellón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Girona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
5	Girona	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14

Last Results with these Odds

Girona - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
05.09.26	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Girona - Las Palmas	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Córdoba - Girona	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Girona - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Girona - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
06.09.26	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Celta de Vigo B - Castellón	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Castellón - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Deportivo Alavés - Castellón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.26	Girona - Castellón	3:3
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.21	Girona - Castellón	2:1
24.10.20	Castellón - Girona	0:1

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