Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Mexico	Sky Sport
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Uruguay	DSports 6
Usa	ESPN+


	Castellón		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.1	4.8
	1.55	4.35	4.95	Watch
	1.58	4.55	4.94
	1.56	4.7	4.91	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.5
	1.54	4.68	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	4.42 ↑ (4.28)	4.99 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
60.2%

Draw
21.1%

Eibar
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Castellón - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Eibar will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Castellón (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 50%). Eibar (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 18. Santiago P. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 3. Brignani F. 4. Sienra A. 21. Calatrava A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 16. Cipenga B. 9. Camara O. 19. Jakobsen A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 21. Moreno M. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Bernat J. 18. Ares A. 6. Alvarez S. 16. Madariaga A. 20. Javier Marton 17. Corpas J.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 12. Alcazar L. 11. Aurelio D. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.	4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 37. Asenjo I. 9. Bautista J. 33. Delgado M. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 14. Olaetxea L.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Calatrava A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Bernat J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Corpas J. ⚽,
65', Sienra A. ↓, Alcazar L. ↑,
65', Jakobsen A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
66', Moreno M. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
66', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Suero I. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
81', Santiago P. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
81', Cipenga B. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
82', Alvarez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
82', Madariaga A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
82', Cubero S. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
90+2', Calatrava A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Mabil A. (International duty) Mellot J. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Nolaskoain P. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Eibar: Guruzeta J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20

Last Results with these Odds

Castellón - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.03%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Huesca - Castellón	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Castellón - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Ceuta - Castellón	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Málaga - Castellón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Eibar - Córdoba	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Leonesa - Eibar	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Mirandés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Eibar - Málaga	2:4 ✺
24.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.25	Eibar - Castellón	0:0
15.02.25	Castellón - Eibar	2:0
17.08.24	Eibar - Castellón	1:0

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