The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Girona 58.7%
Draw 24.7%
Málaga 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
26.8%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
26.8%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.3%
7.3%
5.5%
Girona - Málaga Predictions
Users Predictions:
Girona will win
(48 of 55 users predict this - 87.27%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.46% – 96.08%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).
Girona has the most likely position - 4 (34.1%), has project points - 71, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (87%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Málaga has the most likely position - 18 (35.25%), has project points - 45, has currently - 37, has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality29, importance40, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 0.
Girona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Málaga is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Girona is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Girona to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Girona won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.