Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Fuenlabrada		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.5
	2.3	2.95	3.45	Watch
	2.26	2.85	3.5
	2.32	3.06	3.69
				Watch
	2.29	3.04	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	3.53 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
41.6%

Draw
31.7%

Málaga
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fuenlabrada - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (44.9%), has project points - 38, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Málaga has the most likely position - 18 (21.18%), has project points - 48, has currently - 37, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, importance 39, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fuenlabrada will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.22	Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Burgos	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Eibar - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.22	Málaga - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	Amorebieta - Málaga	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Málaga - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Málaga - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.21	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	1:0
24.04.21	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	0:1
01.12.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:2
17.01.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:0
10.11.19	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	0:0

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