Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Girona		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.1
	1.8	3.45	4.6	Watch
	1.83	3.35	4.2
	1.88	3.56	4.64
				Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	4.4 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
51.5%

Draw
27.1%

Ibiza
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Girona - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 9).

Girona has the most likely position - 5 (30.97%), has project points - 67, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (74%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 10 (10.96%), has project points - 58, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 31, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Girona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.22	Las Palmas - Girona	1:3 ✺
06.03.22	Girona - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Girona - Eibar	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Valladolid - Girona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTLT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.22	Ibiza - Leganés	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Ponferradina - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Ibiza - Huesca	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Tenerife - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Ibiza - Girona	1:1

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