Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Fox Sports, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Variety 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Girona		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.95
	2.52	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3.2	3.17
	2.63	3.03	2.83	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.48	3.14	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.18)	3.1 ↓ (3.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
37.8%

Draw
30.6%

Sevilla
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Girona's form might have worsened.

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	44.8%	17.2%

Girona - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sevilla (1.78) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sevilla (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 5. Lopez D. 12. Vitor Reis 24. Moreno A. 10. Asprilla Y. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 11. Lemar T. 33. Roca J. 7. Stuani C. (C)	13. Nyland O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 18. Agoume L. 21. Ejuke C. 11. Vargas R. 17. Gonzalez A. 7. Romero I.
Substitutes
44. Ba P. 17. Blind D. 14. Camara D. 16. Frances A. 28. Jordana G. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 8. Portu 2. Rincon H. 22. Solis Romero J. E.	39. Altozano E. 28. Bueno M. 26. Costa A. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 23. Marcao 36. Oso 14. Peque 16. Sanchez J. 29. Sierra M.
Coaches
Michel	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Ejuke C. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Romero I. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
64', Martinez A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
64', Stuani C. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
65', Lopez D. ↓, Blind D. ↑,
78', Vargas R. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
78', Witsel A. ↓, Portu ↑,
79', Lemar T. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
84', Agoume L. ↓, Marcao ↑,
84', Romero I. ↓, Peque ↑,
90+3', Nyland O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 4.

Girona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sevilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Herrera Y. (Hamstring Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Muscle Injury) Idumbo S. (Muscle Injury) Januzaj A. (Hamstring Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Lukebakio D. (Foot Injury) Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury) Nianzou T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sow D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Miovski B. (Inactive) Tsygankov V. (Leg Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Girona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Napoli - Girona	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Girona - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
25.08.25	Sevilla - Getafe	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Toulouse - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Sevilla - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Girona - Sevilla	1:2
01.09.24	Sevilla - Girona	0:2
21.01.24	Girona - Sevilla	5:1
26.08.23	Sevilla - Girona	1:2
01.05.23	Sevilla - Girona	0:2
14.01.23	Girona - Sevilla	2:1
28.04.19	Girona - Sevilla	1:0

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