Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	19:30	SuperSport 1
Angola	18:30	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	03:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	19:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Belgium	19:30	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	20:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	13:30	Disney+
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	19:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	19:30	TV2 Play
Finland	20:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	21:30	Silk Sport 1
Germany	19:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	20:30	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
India	23:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	19:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Kosovo	19:30	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	19:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:30	Fox Sports, Sky Sport
Netherlands	19:30	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	19:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	19:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	18:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	20:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	20:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	19:30	Voyo
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Spain	19:30	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2
Sweden	19:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	19:30	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	20:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	20:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	13:30	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+


	Girona		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.95
	2.52	3.15	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3.2	3.17
	2.63	3.03	2.83	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.48	3.14	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.18)	3.1 ↓ (3.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
37.8%

Draw
30.6%

Sevilla
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Girona's form might have worsened.

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	44.8%	17.2%

Girona - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sevilla (1.78) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sevilla (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 5. Lopez D. 12. Vitor Reis 24. Moreno A. 10. Asprilla Y. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 11. Lemar T. 33. Roca J. 7. Stuani C. (C)	13. Nyland O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 18. Agoume L. 21. Ejuke C. 11. Vargas R. 17. Gonzalez A. 7. Romero I.
Substitutes
44. Ba P. 17. Blind D. 14. Camara D. 16. Frances A. 28. Jordana G. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 8. Portu 2. Rincon H. 22. Solis Romero J. E.	39. Altozano E. 28. Bueno M. 26. Costa A. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 23. Marcao 36. Oso 14. Peque 16. Sanchez J. 29. Sierra M.
Coaches
Michel	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Ejuke C. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Romero I. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
64', Martinez A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
64', Stuani C. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
65', Lopez D. ↓, Blind D. ↑,
78', Vargas R. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
78', Witsel A. ↓, Portu ↑,
79', Lemar T. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
84', Agoume L. ↓, Marcao ↑,
84', Romero I. ↓, Peque ↑,
90+3', Nyland O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 4.

Girona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sevilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Herrera Y. (Hamstring Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Ruiz A. (Thigh Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Muscle Injury) Idumbo S. (Muscle Injury) Januzaj A. (Hamstring Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Lukebakio D. (Foot Injury) Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury) Nianzou T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sow D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Miovski B. (Inactive) Tsygankov V. (Leg Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Girona won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Napoli - Girona	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	Girona - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
25.08.25	Sevilla - Getafe	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Toulouse - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Sevilla - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Girona - Sevilla	1:2
01.09.24	Sevilla - Girona	0:2
21.01.24	Girona - Sevilla	5:1
26.08.23	Sevilla - Girona	1:2
01.05.23	Sevilla - Girona	0:2
14.01.23	Girona - Sevilla	2:1
28.04.19	Girona - Sevilla	1:0

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