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Current Win Probability
Monopoli 30.3%
Draw 30.4%
Avellino 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.5%
26.5%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
26.4%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monopoli's performance.
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monopoli that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Monopoli - Avellino Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Monopoli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vitale S. (G) 5. Angileri A. 6. Miceli M. 77. Viteritti O. 16. Valenti B. 8. Battocchio C. 21. Scipioni E. 32. Falzerano M. 33. Yabre M. 11. Vazquez F. 9. Grandolfo F.
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 21. Armellino M. 24. Sounas D. 11. Redan D. 9. Patierno C. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
4. Bizzotto N. 98. Bruschi N. 10. Bulevardi D. 71. Cellamare C. 17. Cristallo C. 99. De Palo A. 19. De Risio C. 7. De Sena C. 13. Fazio P. 25. Ferrini M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 3. Pace F. 22. Sibilano C. (G) 18. Virgilio P. 45. Yeboah P.
51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 25. Toscano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, De Cristofaro A. ⚽,
24', Vazquez F. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
37', 1 - 1, Yabre M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Yeboah P. 🟨,
58', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
62', Rigione M. ↓, Cionek T. ↑,
63', Angileri A. 🟨,
66', Sounas D. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
66', Redan D. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
69', Scipioni E. ↓, Virgilio P. ↑,
69', Falzerano M. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
76', Viteritti O. 🟨,
80', De Cristofaro A. 🟨,
80', Bulevardi D. 🟨,
85', Valenti B. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
85', Yabre M. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
90', Gori G. ↓, Campanile A. ↑,
90', De Cristofaro A. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,
90+5', Mutanda N. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 1.
Monopoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Avellino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Monopoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:18 (average 0.5:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
Italy
World
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Vitale S. (G) 
Valenti B. 
Sounas D. 
Redan D. 
Yeboah P. 
Cionek T. 
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