Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Ibrox Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glasgow Rangers		Genk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.45	3.6	2.85
	2.52	3.68	2.88
	2.57	3.57	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	3.61 ↓ (3.62)	2.8 (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Rangers
39.1%

Draw
26.6%

Genk
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	11.8%	52.9%

Glasgow Rangers - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Genk will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Rangers (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Genk (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Genk (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Rangers (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Rangers (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Rangers (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Genk (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 5. Souttar J. 13. Cornelius D. 30. Meghoma J. 10. Diomande M. 11. Aasgaard T. 43. Raskin N. 47. Moore M. 9. Chermiti 23. Gassama D.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 3. Sadick M. 18. Kayembe J. 19. Medina Y. 17. Hrosovsky P. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 7. Steuckers J. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
18. Antman O. 8. Barron C. 52. Curtis F. 99. Danilo Pereira 24. Djiga N. 50. Gentles J. 31. Kelly L. (G) 64. McCallion A. 28. Miovski B. 49. Rice B. 6. Rothwell J. 32. Wright K. (G)	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 99. Erabi J. 10. Ito J. 20. Karetsas K. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 28. Mounganga L. (G) 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 30. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Martin R.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Diomande M. 🟥,
45+7', Oh Hyeon-Gyu (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moore M. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
56', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
58', Sadick M. 🟨,
64', Medina Y. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
78', Gassama D. 🟨,
79', Cornelius D. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
80', Aasgaard T. ↓, Barron C. ↑,
80', Chermiti ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
80', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
80', Steuckers J. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
81', Bangoura I. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
90+1', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
90+5', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Rangers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Genk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Genk has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rangers: Cameron L. (Injury) Matondo R. (Inactive) Nsiala C. (Inactive) Sterling D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Genk: Heymans D. (Ankle Injury) Sor Y. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Genk - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish League Cup
20.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Club Brugge - Glasgow Rangers	6:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
24.08.25	St. Mirren - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Genk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Anderlecht - Genk	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Genk - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Genk - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

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