Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The BetMcLean Oval (Belfast)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Glentoran		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.70	3.50
	1.82	3.6	3.6
	1.9	4.11	3.64
	1.93	3.85	3.25	Watch
	1.86	4.05	3.55
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.82	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.62)	3.82 ↓ (3.96)	3.55 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glentoran
49.7%

Draw
24.2%

Carrick Rangers
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glentoran's form might have worsened.

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrick Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glentoran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrick Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Glentoran - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Glentoran will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glentoran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Glentoran (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Glentoran (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Glentoran (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mills A. (G) 7. Clarke R. 2. Cooney R. 44. Douglas J. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. (C) 20. Larmour D. 16. Schilte-Brown E. 27. Singleton J. 12. Sloggett G. 10. Stewart J.	1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. (C) 8. Clucas S. 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 22. Heatley P. 11. Lecky A. 3. Nelson K. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
11. Daniels J. 31. Francis Crellin W. (G) 19. Gallagher B. 5. Kelly J. 24. McMenamin C. 41. Rogers-Duffy C. 18. Sule L.	25. Agnew D. (G) 36. Carlisle M. 32. Crown J. 30. Hawthorne C. . Maciulaitis N. 17. Moore J. 7. O'Conchubhair D.
Coaches
McCourt P.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Jenkins J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Jenkins J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
54', Stewart J. ↓, Daniels J. ↑,
54', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
72', Sloggett G. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
79', 🟨,
88', Douglas J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
88', Jenkins J. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
88', Larmour D. ↓, Rogers-Duffy C. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 2.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Glentoran is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Glentoran has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:14 (averaging 2.9:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Glentoran against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 26:9 goals (averaging 2.6:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.48% Carrick Rangers: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
19.09.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Glentoran - Coleraine	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Glentoran - Bangor	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Larne - Glentoran	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Glentoran - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
19.09.26	Carrick Rangers - Larne	2:5 ✺
15.09.26	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bangor - Carrick Rangers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
03.03.26	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	1:0
03.01.26	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:7
30.08.25	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	1:1
15.03.25	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:0
19.10.24	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	1:1
23.08.24	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	2:3
10.02.24	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	2:2

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