The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Limavady United 25.3%
Draw 25.4%
Ballymena United 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
24.9%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
24%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Limavady United - Ballymena United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gallagher M. (G) 16. Boorman R. 19. Brown R. 18. Lafferty D. 7. Lowry P. 8. Lowry S. (C) 10. McGonigle J. 24. Mullan A. 15. O'Donnell S. 11. Tosh L. 23. Wilson R.
1. Walsh D. (G) 10. Allen C. 8. Archer J. 21. Hood J. 26. Lyons-Foster K. 15. McCallion D. 24. McConnell C. 9. Rutkowski I. 6. Sule F. (C) 13. Thorndike F. 2. Toure D.
Substitutes
27. Carlin S. 22. Curran D. 21. Doherty F. (G) 9. Duffy O. 28. Fleming L. 2. Riley J.
23. Breen D. (G) 32. Burns C. 20. Fallon S. 17. Leetch M. 29. Mahoney O. 18. Murray S. 5. Whiteside S.
Coaches
Owens P.
Kearney O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Archer J. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Thorndike F. ⚽,
30', Mullan A. ↓, Duffy O. ↑,
41', Brown R. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 2, McGonigle J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, Riley J. ⚽,
54', 3 - 2, Lowry P. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
66', Allen C. ↓, Leetch M. ↑,
68', Sule F. ↓, Fallon S. ↑,
68', Thorndike F. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
76', 🟨,
79', O'Donnell S. 🟥,
86', 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 10th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Ballymena United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Limavady has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 1.3:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Limavady against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:11 goals (averaging 1.3:2.8 per game).