Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Buzau)

Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	Gloria Buzău		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.35
	3.1	2.95	2.4
	3.46	2.88	2.48
	3.4	2.8	2.41	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	3.23	3.05	2.34	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.88)	2.92 ↓ (3.09)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Buzău
29%

Draw
31.8%

Petrolul Ploieşti
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Buzău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Petrolul Ploieşti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	18.4%	77.6%

Gloria Buzău - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Gloria Buzău will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 36 - 76.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ploiesti: 64.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lazar D. (G) 14. Ciranni A. 5. Turda G. 25. Lovric D. 87. Diego 27. Canadjija D. 8. Albu D. 22. Pirvulescu S. 10. Budescu C. 88. Gheorghe I. 30. Isfan A.	38. Zima L. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Papp P. 2. Huja M. 44. Dumitriu L. 8. Mateiu A. 20. Hanca S. 17. Radulescu M. 6. Jyry T. 11. Moussaki H. 19. Tudorie A.
Substitutes
6. Calin T. 92. Cestor M. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 80. Dumitrascu D. 12. Greab A. (G) 98. Jipa A. 17. Keita M. 9. Matos R. 39. Railean D. (G) 20. Tavares D. 28. Vito	1. Balbarau R. (G) 36. Botogan A. 10. Bratu M. 99. Bucur R. 12. Esanu M. (G) 7. Grozav G. 9. Irobiso C. 15. Jahic H. 22. Radu D. 3. Stanica A. 30. Tolea I.
Coaches
Neagoe E.	Alagic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Tudorie A. ⚽, Jyry T. (A),
35', Budescu C. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
40', Diego 🟨,
44', Mateiu A. 🟨,
45+2', Canadjija D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isfan A. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
46', Canadjija D. ↓, Vito ↑,
64', Pirvulescu S. ↓, Jipa A. ↑,
64', Gheorghe I. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
69', Mateiu A. ↓, Grozav G. ↑,
70', Radulescu M. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
83', Tudorie A. ↓, Irobiso C. ↑,
90+3', Hanca S. ↓, Stanica A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Gloria Buzău is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ploiesti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ploiesti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Gloria Buzău: Keita M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ploiesti: Akosah-Bempah N. (Injury) Fabricio Baiano (Knee Injury) Keita T. (Yellow Cards) Raducan I. (Knee Injury) Ticu V. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gloria Buzău won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
01.11.24	Gloria Buzău - CFR Cluj	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	UTA Arad - Gloria Buzău	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Gloria Buzău - Hermannstadt	3:0 ✺
06.10.24	FCSB - Gloria Buzău	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Gloria Buzău - Farul Constanța	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLW
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.24	Sepsi OSK - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.10.24	Agricola Borcea - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.10.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Politehnica Iași	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - CFR Cluj	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.10.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
15.07.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	0:0
Romanian Division 2
17.04.21	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	1:1
25.11.20	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	1:1
25.11.19	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	0:1

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