Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Berkhamsted		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.62
	2.17	3.76	2.79
	2.2	3.44	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.75 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
41%

Draw
25.9%

Evesham United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.4%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berkhamsted's performance.

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Berkhamsted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berkhamsted - Evesham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Berkhamsted (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Berkhamsted (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Harding M. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Wright A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, Watkins A. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Harding M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Berkhamsted is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Evesham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Berkhamsted - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Berkhamsted - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Billericay Town - Berkhamsted	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
11.10.25	Evesham United - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Evesham United - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	AFC Telford United - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.25	Bracknell Town - Evesham United	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWT

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