Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 38

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Boston United

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.38	3.58	2.09
	3.38	3.58	2.07
	3.38	3.52	2.01
	3.2	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
28.4%

Draw
26.5%

Boston United
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

25.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Gloucester City - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1.

Gloucester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boston United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloucester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boston United have a series of home games.

Boston United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
24.02.24	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rushall Olympic - Gloucester City	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Gloucester City - South Shields	0:5 ✺
06.02.24	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Boston United
English National League North
02.03.24	Boston United - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Boston United - Buxton	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Blyth Spartans - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Boston United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Boston United - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.10.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:0
07.01.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	2:2
13.08.22	Gloucester City - Boston United	2:0
02.05.22	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:1
08.01.22	Gloucester City - Boston United	0:0
01.12.20	Gloucester City - Boston United	0:0
24.08.19	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:0

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