Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 36

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.46	3.4	2.06
	3.41	3.58	2.06
	3.3	3.48	2.05
	3.2	3.4	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.82)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
28.1%

Draw
26.8%

Scarborough Athletic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Gloucester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scarborough is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scarborough will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
20.02.24	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Rushall Olympic - Gloucester City	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Gloucester City - South Shields	0:5 ✺
06.02.24	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Gloucester City - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
20.02.24	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Scarborough Athletic - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Scarborough Athletic - South Shields	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Banbury United - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1
11.03.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	0:3
12.11.22	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3

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