Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.45	2.88
	2.16	3.71	2.85
	2.28	3.82	2.65	Watch
	2.13	3.45	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)	3.61 ↓ (3.82)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
42.2%

Draw
25.4%

Chertsey Town
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

23.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorchester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chertsey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWLL
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
21.10.25	Chertsey Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Taunton Town - Chertsey Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.03.25	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	0:1
21.09.24	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	3:1

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