Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Triller TV+


	Go Ahead Eagles		Ajax

	1	X	2
	3.7	4	1.85	Watch
	4	4.2	1.77
	3.9	3.9	1.85
	3.86	4.05	1.91
	3.92	3.95	1.80	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.75
	3.97	4.1	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.93)	4 ↓ (4.37)	1.82 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
24.3%

Draw
23.7%

Ajax
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

21.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.2%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Go Ahead Eagles's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Go Ahead Eagles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	13.8%	75.9%

Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Ajax (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ajax will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 5. James D. 21. Meulensteen M. 8. Linthorst E. 18. Margaret R. 7. Breum J. 17. Suray M. 16. Edvardsen V.	1. Jaros V. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 4. Itakura K. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 24. Mokio J. 8. Taylor K. 23. Berghuis S. 25. Weghorst W. 7. Moro R.
Substitutes
29. Adelgaard A. 23. Baeten T. 20. Blomme X. 26. Dirksen J. 14. Pettersson O. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 9. Smit M. 27. Stokkers F. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 15. Weijenberg R.	43. Bounida R. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 36. Janse D. 13. Kaplan A. 19. Konadu D. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 6. Regeer Y. 2. Rosa L. 48. Steur S.
Coaches
Boel M.	Heitinga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Klaassen D. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Meulensteen M. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
22', Edvardsen V. 🟨,
33', Weghorst W. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Linthorst E. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Baas Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moro R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
46', Mokio J. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
66', Meulensteen M. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
66', Breum J. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
69', Gaaei A. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
69', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
76', Taylor K. 🟨,
77', Itakura K. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
79', Heitinga J. 🟨,
80', Margaret R. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
80', James D. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Breum J. (Inactive) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury) Twigt C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Ajax: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Itakura K. (Inactive) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Injury) Regeer Y. (Injury) Sutalo J. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:31. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
08.08.25	Fortuna Sittard - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
03.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Al Duhail	4:2 ✺
15.07.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.08.25	Ajax - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Ajax - Monaco	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Como - Ajax	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ajax - Celtic	5:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ajax - KV Mechelen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.25	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
21.09.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	1:1
04.04.24	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
14.01.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:3
02.04.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	0:0
01.10.22	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
27.02.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	2:1

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