Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Ajax		Celtic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.6	2.08	Watch
	2.96	3.69	2.16
	4.20	4.46	1.65	Watch
	2.15	3.9	2.62
	3.07	3.82	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.32)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	2.13 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
31%

Draw
24.4%

Celtic
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

24.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celtic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Ajax - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celtic: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celtic (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ajax (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Celtic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Jaros V. (G) . Gaaei A. . Bouwman A. . Baas Y. . Wijndal O. . Regeer Y. . Mokio J. . Klaassen D. . Berghuis S. . Brobbey B. . Moro R.	. Schmeichel K. (G) . Ralston A. . Murray D. . Scales L. . Tierney K. . Nygren B. . McGregor C. (C) . Hatate R. . Yang Hyun-Jun . Idah A. . Maeda D.
Substitutes
. Araki R. (G) . Bounida R. . Edvardsen O. . Fitz-Jim K. . Godts M. . Janse D. . Jetten L. . Konadu D. . Nawata G. . Pasveer R. (G) . Reverson P. (G) . Rosa L. . Steur S. . Traore B. . Verschuren N.	. Bernardo P. . Carter-Vickers C. . Donovan C. . Doohan R. (G) . Engels A. . Forrest J. . Inamura H. . Kenny J. . McCowan L. . Osmand C. . Rice A. (G) . Sinisalo V. (G) . Summers B. . Tilio M. . Trusty A.
Coaches
Heitinga J.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Berghuis S. ⚽, Brobbey B. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Yang Hyun-Jun ⚽, Hatate R. (A),
23', Berghuis S. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Moro R. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
46', Tierney K. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
46', Murray D. ↓, Carter-Vickers C. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Klaassen D. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Berghuis S. ⚽,
65', Brobbey B. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
65', Gaaei A. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
65', Regeer Y. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
65', Idah A. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
65', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Forrest J. ↑,
65', Hatate R. ↓, Engels A. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Bouwman A. ⚽,
72', McGregor C. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
72', Nygren B. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
72', Berghuis S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
73', Bouwman A. ↓, Verschuren N. ↑,
73', Wijndal O. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
73', Mokio J. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
80', Klaassen D. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Bounida R. ⚽, Edvardsen O. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

Celtic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Celtic has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Ajax - KV Mechelen	3:2 ✺
16.07.25	Ajax - PAOK	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Ajax - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ajax - Hibernian	6:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.05.25	Ajax - Twente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW
- Celtic
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Celtic - Newcastle United	4:0 ✺
16.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Cork City - Celtic	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Queens Park - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
24.05.25	Aberdeen - Celtic	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.11.15	Celtic - Ajax	1:2
17.09.15	Ajax - Celtic	2:2
UEFA Champions League
06.11.13	Ajax - Celtic	1:0
22.10.13	Celtic - Ajax	2:1
Club Friendly
21.07.12	Ajax - Celtic	4:0

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