Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Utrecht		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.90	3.10	Watch
	2.10	4.20	3.20
	2.12	3.55	3.15
	2.09	4.29	3.05
	1.92	4.24	3.33	Watch
	2.00	4.20	2.95
	2.08	3.99	3.34	Watch
	2.05	3.70	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)	4.01 ↑ (3.73)	3.15 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
46.2%

Draw
23.7%

Go Ahead Eagles
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	5.6%	22.2%

Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Go Ahead (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. Didden M. 5. Panagiotou N. 6. Offerhaus G. 20. de Wit D. (C) 34. van den Berg D. 92. Zagre A. 11. Alarcon A. 9. Stepanov A. 10. Cathline Y.	1. Haug K. (G) 2. Sampsted A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 5. James D. 8. Linthorst E. 21. Meulensteen M. 10. Tengstedt S. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 9. Sigurdarson S. I.
Substitutes
39. Amrabat N. 15. Blake A. 80. Broholm M. 31. Eppink M. (G) 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 32. Kloosterboer P. 18. Medic J. 21. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 47. Owen E. C. 53. Pohl F. 17. van Duijn S.	23. Baeten T. 29. Flataker E. 30. Hulleman T. (G) 6. Jukic T. 18. Margaret R. 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 11. Sivertsen O. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E. 15. Weijenberg R.
Coaches
Correia A.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
44', van den Berg D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Tengstedt S. ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, Edvardsen V. ⚽, Tengstedt S. (A),
61', Offerhaus G. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
61', Zagre A. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
61', Horemans S. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, de Wit D. ⚽,
65', Stepanov A. 🟨,
65', Kramer J. 🟨,
76', 2 - 3, Didden M. ⚽, van den Berg D. (A),
85', Sigurdarson S. I. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Stepanov A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1.

Utrecht is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Go Ahead is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utrecht might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Utrecht: Agougil O. (Injury) Broholm M. (Inactive) Engwanda A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury) Paredes K. (Inactive) van Ommeren J. (Injury)

There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Vesterlund N. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	G.A. Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Last Results with these Odds

Utrecht - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.26	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:6 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
09.08.26	Groningen - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2 ✺
23.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Luton Town - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.03.26	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0
30.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	2:2
06.04.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	2:2
15.12.24	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	3:3
26.05.24	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ET
14.04.24	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1
10.12.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	0:2

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