Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Margao)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18, Star Sports 3
World	JioTV app, Onefootball


	Goa		East Bengal

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.5
	1.63	3.5	4.1
	1.67	4	4.63	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.6
	1.64	4	4.54
	1.63	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.81 ↑ (3.72)	4.46 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goa
55.6%

Draw
24%

East Bengal
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

East Bengal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Bengal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Goa - East Bengal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Goa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). East Bengal will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Tiwari H. (G) 17. Singh B. 16. Onaindia O. (C) 3. Jhingan S. 27. Sangwan A. 15. Tavora S. 26. Herrera B. 10. Yasir M. 34. Guarrotxena I. 42. Fernandes B. 9. Sadiku A.	13. Singh Gill P. (G) 11. Sekar N. 5. Lalchungnunga 19. Maher H. 22. Kumar N. 82. Puthiya Valappill V. 6. Jeakson Singh 29. Singh N. (C) 7. Celis R. 14. Lalhlansanga D. 9. Diamantakos D.
Substitutes
18. Borges R. 14. Chhetri A. 20. Fernandes S. 48. Gaonkar P. 41. Gupta J. 44. Nemil Valiyattil M. 45. Raj B. (G) 99. Singh S. 30. Tamang N.	84. Banerjee S. 63. Chakladar M. 10. Cleiton Silva 81. Dey S. 24. Majumder D. (G) 85. Mandi C. 27. Patra A. (G) 59. TK J. 88. Zothanpuia M.
Coaches
Marquez M.	Bruzon O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Fernandes B. ⚽,
24', Tavora S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tavora S. ↓, Chhetri A. ↑,
50', Jeakson Singh 🟨,
55', Lalhlansanga D. ↓, Cleiton Silva ↑,
71', Yasir M. ↓, Borges R. ↑,
81', Singh N. ↓, Zothanpuia M. ↑,
89', Herrera B. ↓, Gupta J. ↑,
90+3', Celis R. ↓, Banerjee S. ↑,
90+3', Sadiku A. 🟥,
90+5', Banerjee S. 🟨,
90+9', Sekar N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goa won 5.

Goa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches East Bengal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Bengal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goa is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Goa won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Goa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Goa
Indian ISL
14.01.25	NorthEast United - Goa	1:1 ✺
08.01.25	Goa - Hyderabad	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Odisha - Goa	2:4 ✺
20.12.24	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bengaluru - Goa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWT
- East Bengal Club
Indian ISL
11.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	1:0 ✺
06.01.25	East Bengal - Mumbai City	2:3 ✺
28.12.24	Hyderabad - East Bengal	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	East Bengal - Jamshedpur	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	East Bengal - Punjab	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
27.09.24	East Bengal - Goa	2:3
06.03.24	Goa - East Bengal	1:0
21.10.23	East Bengal - Goa	1:2
26.01.23	Goa - East Bengal	4:2
12.10.22	East Bengal - Goa	1:2
19.01.22	Goa - East Bengal	1:2
07.12.21	East Bengal - Goa	3:4

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